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 Why the Lions will probably miss the playoffs 
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Post Re: Why the Lions will probably miss the playoffs
regularjoe12 wrote:
WarEr4Christ wrote:
Didn't the Bears lose to KC 10 - 3, and Detroit blew out KC, and now the Bears lost to Denver 13-10, another team the Lions blew out. So how does that rate in games in common for us having the upper hand?


I doesn't do anything for us.
Tie breakers go like this:

Head to head record
division record
Confrence record
Points differential
2 legged sack races??? lol


Umm...... I think you have it incorrect. When two teams are tied for a wild card birth the tie breakers go in this order

TO BREAK A TIE FOR THE WILD-CARD TEAM

If it is necessary to break ties to determine the two Wild-Card clubs from each conference, the following steps will be taken.

If the tied clubs are from the same division, apply division tie breaker.

If Chicago and Detroit are Tied.
Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games between the clubs). split
Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division.Right now Detroit .600 Chicago .500

Chicago has 2 division games left they are 2-2 now and have GB and Minn. So at best 4-2 but more than likely 3-3 or 2-4
Detroit has 1 game left GB and they are 3-2 now so at best 4-2 at worst 3-3 so I believe detroit wins this tie breaker and at worst is stilled tied.

Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games.

Since they are tied in Division those games are a wash in this tie breaker. Other common games
Chicago is 4-4 Detroit is 4-2 so in common games as of right now detroit holds the edge
Detroit still has Oakland and SD so at worst tied in this tie breaker. gotta win at least one of these games.


Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
. This is the tie breaker that will screw the Lions if the tie breaking goes this far.
Chicago 6-3 with 3 games left. Seahawks, GB, Minn. if they win all 3 they are 9-3 in Conf. and 10-6 over all and We are screwed if Lions finish 10-6.
Detroit 6-5 with 1 game left GB so at best 7-5 in Conf.

Strength of victory.
Strength of schedule.
Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best net points in common games.
Best net points in all games.
Best net touchdowns in all games.
Coin toss





If the tied clubs are from different divisions, apply the following steps.

Two Clubs

Head-to-head, if applicable.
Detroit wins over Dallas

Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
NY 4-6 right now with Wash, Dallas left so at best 6-6
detroit 6-5 with GB left so at worst 6-6
Atlanta 6-4 with N.O. and TB left
seahawks must win out to be 9-7 and hold the edge over detroit in this
Arizona must win out to be 9-7 and would be 7-7 conf. record.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
Strength of victory.
Strength of schedule.
Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best net points in conference games.
Best net points in all games.
Best net touchdowns in all games.
Coin toss.


Didn't feel like breaking it down any farther. Detroit Must win at least one more game to have a "chance" 2 wins should get them in.
Just take care of business this weekend and things will shake out much more.


Frok

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December 14th, 2011, 8:59 pm
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Post Re: Why the Lions will probably miss the playoffs
Pretty much just take this one game at a time and just win.

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December 15th, 2011, 12:42 am
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Post Re: Why the Lions will probably miss the playoffs
Lions2SB2 wrote:
Pretty much just take this one game at a time and just win.

Thats all that matters. We control our own destiny, which is what you want at this point of the season.

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December 15th, 2011, 3:10 am
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Post Re: Why the Lions will probably miss the playoffs
All they have to do is win once now.

Against the Chargers--an incredibly inconsistent team--at home, or against GB's backups on the road.

They should easily grab one of those wins and a WC slot.


December 19th, 2011, 12:39 am
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Post Re: Why the Lions will probably miss the playoffs
One win gets the Lions in.

If the Lions lose both remaining games, they still get in if all of the following teams lose at least one more game:
Seattle (next game vs. SF, then AZ)
Chicago (next game vs. GB, then MIN)
Arizona (next game vs. CIN, then SEA)

Hopefully it won't come down to needing help. Just beat SD in the final home game this year. Wish I could be at Ford Field this weekend!

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December 19th, 2011, 12:57 am
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Post Re: Why the Lions will probably miss the playoffs
When I first started this thread, I didn't see Chicago's collapse coming. Hopefully they'll take care of business at Ford Field and perhaps even beat the Packers at Lambeau.


December 19th, 2011, 3:02 am
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Post Re: Why the Lions will probably miss the playoffs
I say they get it done. How long has it been since theyve had THIS kind of motivation?

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December 19th, 2011, 1:09 pm
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Post Re: Why the Lions will probably miss the playoffs
kdsberman wrote:
I say they get it done. How long has it been since theyve had THIS kind of motivation?


Yep, we win on Sunday! :arrow:

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December 19th, 2011, 1:29 pm
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Post Re: Why the Lions will probably miss the playoffs
Lions2SB2 wrote:
kdsberman wrote:
I say they get it done. How long has it been since theyve had THIS kind of motivation?


Yep, we win on Sunday! :arrow:


Interesting, my tickets say Saturday... :oops:

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December 19th, 2011, 1:40 pm
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Post Re: Why the Lions will probably miss the playoffs
Pablo wrote:
Lions2SB2 wrote:
kdsberman wrote:
I say they get it done. How long has it been since theyve had THIS kind of motivation?


Yep, we win on Sunday! :arrow:


Interesting, my tickets say Saturday... :oops:


:shock: we do...

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December 19th, 2011, 3:21 pm
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Post Re: Why the Lions will probably miss the playoffs
I'm still nervous about the way this can go down...

With a victory or tie Saturday over the San Diego Chargers at Ford Field. (What an early Christmas present that would be!)

OR

These three games ending this way: A Green Bay Packers victory over the Chicago Bears, a San Francisco 49ers victory over the Seattle Seahawks and a Cincinnati Bengals victory over the Arizona Cardinals.

I can still see the Lions backing in... especially since all the games above are a very good chance of going the Lions way. Week after week the Lions have proven me wrong and I have been getting that feeling that there is something that is going to go down that is that SOL feeling...

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December 19th, 2011, 4:57 pm
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Post Re: Why the Lions will probably miss the playoffs
Pablo wrote:
Lions2SB2 wrote:
kdsberman wrote:
I say they get it done. How long has it been since theyve had THIS kind of motivation?


Yep, we win on Sunday! :arrow:


Interesting, my tickets say Saturday... :oops:



How da heck do you got Tix?? thats one helluva drive!!! :wink: 8)

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December 19th, 2011, 6:12 pm
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Post Re: Why the Lions will probably miss the playoffs
regularjoe12 wrote:
Pablo wrote:
Lions2SB2 wrote:
kdsberman wrote:
I say they get it done. How long has it been since theyve had THIS kind of motivation?


Yep, we win on Sunday! :arrow:


Interesting, my tickets say Saturday... :oops:



How da heck do you got Tix?? thats one helluva drive!!! :wink: 8)


Pablo is so rich he wipes his rectum with $100 bills when he is on his personal Gulf Stream Jet. LOL.


December 19th, 2011, 11:02 pm
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Post Re: Why the Lions will probably miss the playoffs
Well...I guess the OP was wrong. SUHweet!


December 25th, 2011, 11:35 am
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Post Re: Why the Lions will probably miss the playoffs
It's not often that I'm happy to be wrong, but this is one of those times. When I made that post, it's not that I didn't think they were capable of going at least 10-6, it's that I thought Chicago would finish at 11-5 or better and that they'd lose the tiebreaker to a 10-6 Atlanta. But then Cutler broke his thumb and Forte got injured and the Bears' season bottomed out. Otherwise their schedule looked creampuffy from 7-3 on out.


December 25th, 2011, 12:53 pm
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